Harris vs. Trump vs. RFK Jr. polls
Harris has a 3.9% lead based on 88 polls.
Oct 23, 2024
Harris
48.2%
Trump
44.3%
Kennedy
2.1%
Estimate
95% of polls fall in this range
88 polls
Latest Poll: Wed, Oct 23, 6:24 AM EDT
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 – 11 | 780 RV | Marquette University... | 43.0%Harris 39.0%Trump 10.0%Kennedy | +4 Harris |
| Oct 5 – 9 | 1,000 RV | Hart Research/Public... | 47.0%Trump 46.0%Harris 2.0%Kennedy | +1 Trump |
| Oct 1 – 7 | 4,025 RV | Pew Research Center | 48.0%Harris 47.0%Trump 2.0%Kennedy | +1 Harris |
| Sep 30 – Oct 7 | 3,385 RV | Siena College Poll/N... | 46.0%Harris 44.0%Trump | +2 Harris |
| Oct 3 – 5 | 997 LV | TIPP Insights | 48.0%Harris 45.0%Trump 2.0%Kennedy | +3 Harris |
| Oct 3 – 4 | 1,500 LV | Cygnal | 47.2%Harris 44.5%Trump 2.0%Kennedy | +3 Harris |
| Sep 29 – 30 | 1,616 LV | Redfield & Wilton St... | 48.0%Harris 46.0%Trump 1.0%Kennedy | +2 Harris |
| Sep 23 – 27 | 1,735 LV | Outward Intelligence | 50.8%Harris 45.0%Trump 2.6%Kennedy | +6 Harris |
| Sep 24 – 26 | 1,005 LV | Echelon Insights | 49.0%Harris 44.0%Trump 2.0%Kennedy | +5 Harris |
| Sep 16 – 20 | 1,880 LV | Outward Intelligence | 51.2%Harris 44.6%Trump 2.4%Kennedy | +7 Harris |
+ More Polls
The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
Donald Trump
Donald Trump is an American businessman, television personality, and politician who served as the 45th President of the United States from January 2017 to January 2021. Before his presidency, Trump was known for his real estate empire and for hosting the reality TV show, "The Apprentice." His presidency was notable for its non-traditional, often controversial, approach and prioritization of America-first policies. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, first in 2019 and then in 2021, but was acquitted both times by the Senate.
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris is an American politician and a member of the Democratic Party who is serving as the Vice President of the United States. Before her vice presidency, she served as Senator for the state of California. Prior to that, she was the Attorney General for California.
RFK Jr.
RFK Jr., or Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an American environmental lawyer and activist. As the son of Robert F. Kennedy, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator from New York, and the nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he has a deep-seated connection to American politics. However, he has primarily focused his career on environmental advocacy, co-founding the Waterkeeper Alliance, an organization dedicated to clean water. He has often stirred controversy, particularly with his vocal skepticism towards vaccines.
